OPEN:EU Scenario Storyline
Report: Scenarios for a One Planet
Economy in Europe
A set of future scenarios were developed as part of the OPEN:EU project to help support
policy makers in thinking about the policy effort needed to transform Europe into a One
Planet Economy by 2050.
This report provides an overview of the methodology that was
used by the project team in the development of the scenarios, and an illustration of how
life would be in 2050 in each of the scenarios. It places this scenario exercise in the
context of the EU‘s overarching plan for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth over the
coming decades as well as in the perspective of other existing scenario exercises that
address similar themes.
There are four narratives that provide alternative, albeit not necessarily ideal, visions of
the transition toward a One Planet Economy in Europe by 2050. They present both an
illustration of life in Europe in 2050 and the policy settings that are necessary to support
the transition to this common end point under different assumptions about the future.
The scenarios were developed via a back-casting exercise on the basis of stakeholder
input provided during a two-day workshop in September 2010.